Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.147681 0.170849 0.196431 0.226772 0.261777 0.300901 0.347957
2025-11-09 0.106115 0.135796 0.171950 0.219223 0.279423 0.353566 0.451904
2025-11-16 0.088231 0.121095 0.163943 0.223888 0.305630 0.413292 0.566084
2025-11-23 0.075019 0.109024 0.155893 0.225188 0.325102 0.464107 0.672577
2025-11-30 0.065876 0.100601 0.150821 0.228711 0.346577 0.518511 0.788975
2025-12-07 0.056688 0.090506 0.141570 0.224241 0.354875 0.553692 0.880111
2025-12-14 0.049688 0.082620 0.134345 0.221432 0.364595 0.591079 0.977729
2025-12-21 0.045031 0.077747 0.131040 0.224082 0.382730 0.642856 1.103260
2025-12-28 0.042475 0.075956 0.132383 0.234293 0.414092 0.718909 1.276893
2026-01-04 0.039557 0.073126 0.131548 0.240490 0.438987 0.786273 1.442524
2026-01-11 0.036858 0.070317 0.130352 0.245753 0.462546 0.853344 1.614418
2026-01-18 0.034003 0.066854 0.127540 0.247622 0.479887 0.910687 1.774150
2026-01-25 0.030740 0.062291 0.122304 0.244558 0.488043 0.952741 1.911392
2026-02-01 0.027254 0.056881 0.114866 0.236393 0.485446 0.974218 2.011324
2026-02-08 0.025626 0.055015 0.114125 0.241423 0.509527 1.049903 2.227778
2026-02-15 0.023797 0.052501 0.111776 0.242824 0.526200 1.112250 2.423302
2026-02-22 0.022378 0.050688 0.110651 0.246622 0.548214 1.187595 2.654213
2026-03-01 0.020356 0.047304 0.105816 0.241803 0.550991 1.222487 2.800759
2026-03-08 0.018691 0.044529 0.101992 0.238776 0.557330 1.265551 2.969939
2026-03-15 0.017627 0.043019 0.100819 0.241633 0.577288 1.340637 3.220219
2026-03-22 0.017213 0.043001 0.103043 0.252639 0.617352 1.465186 3.599569
2026-03-29 0.016526 0.042241 0.103444 0.259319 0.647802 1.570474 3.944119
2026-04-05 0.015821 0.041351 0.103438 0.264993 0.676387 1.674156 4.295863